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Leaving SAVE on a Modest Paycheck? Missing the Plan Pick Turns a $100 Bill Into $405.

A JPMorganChase Institute study of 740,000 households finds only 37% of SAVE borrowers can still lower their payment on IBR or RAP, and they are mostly the lower earners. For them, defaulting into the Standard plan means a median $405 a month instead of $100. For the other 63%, the Standard plan already is the cheapest bill. Here is how to tell which side you're on.

Three black graduation caps with red tassels lying on a gym floor among scattered confetti

If you were on SAVE and your take-home pay is modest, the plan you pick in the next few weeks is worth about $300 a month. If you earn more, it may be worth nothing at all.

That’s the split in new numbers from the JPMorganChase Institute, which matched bank and credit bureau data for 740,000 households. Only 37% of SAVE borrowers can still lower their payment by moving to IBR or RAP. Those are mostly the lower earners. For them, doing nothing is expensive.

The plan that lasted 10 months

At every income, SAVE charged less than the income-driven plans before it. Borrowers made payments on it for 10 months before a court froze it in July 2024. A final court order killed it in early 2026. Now about 7 million people have to land somewhere else.

Your servicer’s notice starts a 90-day clock. Miss it, and Federal Student Aid says you get one final 30-day notice. Miss that, and you’re placed in the Standard plan, or the Tiered Standard plan if you took out a loan on or after July 1, 2026 that’s now in repayment. If you’re on auto pay, the bigger number gets pulled automatically.

The researchers measured what that costs. Among households that would still save on an income-driven plan, the median take-home income is about $36,100. Their median payment on IBR or RAP: $100 a month, about 3% of take-home pay. Their median on the Standard plan: $405, or 12.7%. A quarter of them would need more than 20%.

That’s $305 a month. Call it $3,660 a year, for not picking a plan.

Will people skip it? History says yes. When the pandemic pause ended, only 60% of borrowers made a payment in the first month, the study notes. Before the pandemic, borrowers who qualified for income-driven plans but never enrolled paid 10.2% of their income.

Which side are you on?

The two groups barely overlap. Among borrowers who stay eligible, 75% take home $56,000 or less. Among those losing eligibility, 75% take home at least $65,000.

If you’re in the first group, the default plan is the dumb option. Pick one.

If you’re in the second, your Standard payment probably already beats anything income-based. The study’s median for that group is $207 a month, about 2.7% of take-home pay. You don’t need to panic-switch into a plan that charges you more.

Do this now

Log in to the Repayment Calculator on StudentAid.gov and compare your Standard payment with IBR and RAP. They come out close for most people, per the study, but not identical. IBR offers a $0 payment below 150% of the poverty line and RAP doesn’t. RAP stretches forgiveness to 30 years.

Then check your inbox for the servicer notice and the “final notice.” Our SAVE deadline post explains how to find your real date. To see what a lower payment does to your payoff timeline, plug both numbers into our loan calculator. More on picking a plan lives on our education hub.

The detail

The study infers SAVE enrollment from forbearance and interest patterns, measures income from bank deposits rather than tax returns, and treats couples who share an account as one household. Most figures are as of December 2025. “Eligible” means IBR or RAP would beat a 10-year Standard payment, not that you’re barred from enrolling. Anyone can.

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Frequently asked questions

What share of SAVE borrowers still benefit from an income-driven plan?

About 37%, according to the JPMorganChase Institute's October 2026 study. It counts a household as eligible when IBR or RAP would produce a lower monthly payment than a 10-year Standard plan. Below about $40,000 in annual take-home pay, almost all SAVE borrowers in its data stay eligible.

How much more would an eligible borrower pay on the Standard plan?

The study's median IDR-eligible household would pay about $100 a month on IBR or RAP and about $405 on the Standard plan. That's roughly 3% of take-home pay versus 12.7%, and a quarter of these households would need more than 20%.

What happens if I don't pick a plan?

Federal Student Aid says you get 90 days from your servicer's notice, then a final 30-day notice. Miss that and you're placed in the Standard Repayment Plan, or the Tiered Standard Plan if you have a loan made on or after July 1, 2026 that's in repayment. If you use auto pay, the new amount is pulled automatically.

Should a higher earner bother with IBR or RAP?

Run the numbers, but often no. Among SAVE borrowers the study expects to lose eligibility, the median take-home income is about $92,900 and the median Standard payment is $207 a month, about 2.7% of take-home pay. Public Service Loan Forgiveness has its own rules, so check those separately if you work toward it.

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